Drones - delivery of product (supply chain management) - surveillance (security and privacy issues) - cyber security threat

1. The Drone Market will Grow to 42.8 billion USD by 2025
2. Energy is Still the Largest Industry, but Transport is Growing Rapidly
3. Asia is Now the Biggest Regional Drone Market in the World
4. The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic will be Felt by the Drone Industry
5. Drone Sales will Double from 2020 to 2025

Lukas Schroth https://dronelife.com/2020/06/23/droneii-the-drone-market-from-2020-2025-five-key-takeaways/
Miriam McNabb is the Editor-in-Chief of DRONELIFE and CEO of JobForDrones, a professional drone services marketplace
 
 

.BIG Picture Trends

Big Trends effecting the future use and application of drones advances in synthetic and composite materials light weight means more time hovering greater speed to cover more area capacity to carrying heavier cameras, microphones etc. power and propulsion maneuverability enhanced navigation miniaturization smaller drones achieve greater "stealth" capability advanced operating systems compatible with existing smart devices increases accessibility by operators cost - affordability once the cost drops to the range where average people can buy a simple unit, there will be a rapid rise in the diversity of uses Diversity of applications may be as varied as what we see in smartphone apps in 2014

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The diversity of uses and the advances in technological applications of drones might follow the same progression of cellphones in the past 20 years

Following my 2nd annual speech on Cyber Security to the Mackenzie Institute (Oct 2014) I created this unit on drones since it became apparent that the principle of UAV Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (large size and miniature sized) was involving a range of technologies that has begun to effect many aspects of business and marketing as well as internet marketing and international business. I do not have a unit on "phones".  It has been interesting to observe the evolution of phones in the past 20 years since it is a device which most people over 30, have witnessed with their own experience by owning these products. The following list of images represents the progression of phones I have owned since 1990 to present.   1990 1996 2006 2009 2012 .

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Cellphones vs. drones

As this unit is being first constructed (2014 October) it is expected that as certain technologies and capabilities of drones become more advanced, we will see applications and usefulness that could not have been predicted based on their original military concept. Perhaps an analogy might be   = 2010 United States Airforce Predator UAV = 2014 drone the size of a textbook with a GoPro camera mounted = 2019 2023 2025 ? ? ? ? .

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.Technological Environment

What are some of the key differences between drones in 2010 versus 2025 and beyond? Future drones will have longer lasting batteries which will effect flight time and hovering cability enhanced GPS (PPS)  which will affect more precise navigation more complex operating systems  which will effect "command and control" and the ability to design "apps" for drones the way we caught on to developing apps for the iPhone will will allow for a wider variety of uses and deployments

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.Political Environment

Privacy Issues What can drones do, that would effect privacy considerations? Long Distance surveillance Thermal vision - to see people in structures or heavy woods Radar Biometrics - facial recognition The Office of the Privacy Commissioner Canada devotes a webpage to discussing what drones are capable of and asks "Will the proliferation of domestic drone use in Canada raise new concerns fo privacy?" https://www.priv.gc.ca/information/research-recherche/2013/drones_201303_e.asp#heading-002-3 "High-power zoom lenses that could increase the chances of individuals being surveilled from a great distance. Night vision, infrared, ultraviolet, thermal imaging, and LIDAR (light detection and ranging) that enables UAVs to detect and enhance detail. Radar technologies that can penetrate walls and earth enabling the tracking of individuals even inside buildings, through cloudy conditions and through foliage. Video analytics technology, which is improving rapidly and would be able to recognize and respond to specific people, events and objects, or even flag changes in routines to identify particular movement patterns as “suspicious.” This could also include things like license plate readers. Distributed video, whereby a number of UAVs work in concert with multiple video cameras. Facial recognition or other “soft biometric recognition” that enables the UAV to recognize and track personal attributes such as height, age, gender and skin colour."

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.Political Environment

In Canada, many things that enterprises want to do in business and marketing is usually effected by federal, provincial or local rules and regulations of some kind - UAVs and drones also have regulations which effect their operation and application - however....it is becoming a challenge in Q4 2014 to see how the government could control devices that are the size of a sandwich as drones become smaller and smaller. See   .tc.gc.ca/eng/civilaviation/standards/general-recavi-uav-2265.htm for a discussion of regulations "Section 602.41 of the CARs (Canadian Aviation Regulations) states, no person shall operate an unmanned air vehicle in flight except in accordance with a Special Flight Operation Certificate (SFOC). Section 623.65(d) outlines information that should be submitted when making an application: "   Which means...you cannot take a medium sized drone and fly it down the main street of a village to take images of the stores for the business development office without contacting Transport Canada first, and dealing with several federal and local government regulations.

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some images and material on this page came from
https://www.baltimorebrew.com/2013/10/17/first-a-blimp-mapping-now-a-drone-filming/
https://www.priv.gc.ca/information/research-recherche/2013/drones_201303_e.asp#heading-002-3
http://www.futuristspeaker.com/2014/09/192-future-uses-for-flying-drones/
 
 
 

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